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samsnelling | 10 years ago

Would you mind sharing a few links? I've been interested in the prediction engines for NBA games for a few years now.

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swanson|10 years ago

Sure, here is what I used for last season:

https://basketballmonster.com/ for projections (terrible website, but really good). Don't have much information on their approach, but the common wisdom for NBA is to project fantasy points per minute and then predict how many minutes each player will get. Factors also include pace (how many possessions each team will get) and DVP (defense vs position).

https://twitter.com/baskmonster the best twitter account for posting injury/lineup news

https://www.fantasycruncher.com/ lineup optimizer and scripting auto-entry. Also has a really nice free feature called "Lineup Rewind" that you can use to "back test" previously days/weeks data.

Fantasy Cruncher comes with their own projections, but I didn't use them; you can import the BasketballMonster projections into the tool instead.