So boiled down to its fundamentals, lucky people are really those who open more doors to opportunities, notice the opportunities, and then take advantage of the opportunities. By increasing the possibilities, the probability rises that you will find good opportunities. To increase your ability to recognize opportunities rather than doubt and ignore them, you must be willing to fail many times in order to succeed the really good times. This is where the optimism and self-confidence come into play.
We see this same philosophy preached in other threads here with regard to successful businesses.
I love seeing older articles on HN. There are plenty of places to find the latest and "greatest" breaking news (tputh, reddit, digg, slashdot, etc.) but really appreciate Hacker News members' perspective on stories that have been around for some time.
Luck is essentially a common interpretation of the stochastic nature of the world. I agree with the author of the article in that people could increase their luck by exposing themselves to random events. I disagree that counting all pictures rather than stopping when the note is found implies a "lucky" personality-- that is more like a rational/logical personality. Luck would be that in fact, the number of pictures was different than the number in the note, and the person's curiosity helped them discover this fact by continuing to count regardless of having seen the note.
I tried to describe this in one of my blog posts, but I am still missing the second part, if interested, take a look at: http://bit.ly/b0SjZq
I don't think the author was implying that stopping when the note is found implies a "lucky" personality. I think Dr. Wiseman was looking for personality traits that are common amongst "unlucky" people. The newspaper test demonstrated that unlucky people are more tense and anxious than normal, and this could explain why they may not spot new opportunities.
"unlucky people miss chance opportunities because they are too focused on looking for something else."
Or, those who are too focused looking for something else generally consider themselves to be unlucky.
Self-reporting on if you are "lucky" or not is a reflection on the positiveness, motivation and optimism of the person. Not if you are actually "lucky" or not.
This study for me draws conclusions about people's outlook on their lives and how it effects their ability to concentrate on given tasks. Involving 'luck' in this is just for the headlines.
Well, you could define luck as "percieved luck" - after all, what else is there? It doesn't really make sense for me to state that someone else is lucky.
The description of the unlucky person sounds more like me than the the lucky description. I try to avoid using intuition as much as possible and I always make the rational choice as best as I can judge it. Yet, I feel neither lucky nor unlucky.
Partly, of course, that's because I don't believe in a person being "lucky". And, to the extent that concept is meaningful, I've always believed in "making your own luck", which I seem to do just fine.
You don't need to be a superstitious person to gain all the benefits of "luck".
I think it'd be interesting to see whether HNers consider themselves lucky or unlucky overall. I have a guess, but don't want to reveal it for fear of prejudicing the answers.
Luck doesn't exist. It is essentially a magic enchantment that provides its recipient with an ability to gain a positive outcome of chance events at a frequency above those provided by normal probability. Sure, there are some people who will 'beat the odds' on a regular basis, probability provides for this, however more people report being lucky than the probability suggests as well. Further, luck has a social connotation roughly equivelent to fortunate, but when the term lucky is used there is a nod to vague supernatural forces controlling outcomes, a la the Fates.
As such luck really cannot be isolated as a factor. Instead tho, people who claim to be lucky can easily be isolated. They can be studied for what makes them "lucky". In this case it seems to be at least somewhat correlated with openness to unexpected outcomes.
"On one hand, every single one of my ancestors going back billions of years has managed to figure it out. On the other hand, that's the mother of all sampling biases." -- http://xkcd.com/674/ (hover text)
[+] [-] lqdshadow|16 years ago|reply
We see this same philosophy preached in other threads here with regard to successful businesses.
[+] [-] dangoldin|16 years ago|reply
[+] [-] RiderOfGiraffes|16 years ago|reply
http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=878039
[+] [-] bgraves|16 years ago|reply
[+] [-] Sukotto|16 years ago|reply
otoh, I found it an interesting read and missed it the first time around so I'm glad it made it to the front page today.
[+] [-] bgray|16 years ago|reply
[+] [-] F_J_H|16 years ago|reply
[+] [-] carbocation|16 years ago|reply
(Various versions of this are available in English at http://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Louis_Pasteur )
[+] [-] iBercovich|16 years ago|reply
I tried to describe this in one of my blog posts, but I am still missing the second part, if interested, take a look at: http://bit.ly/b0SjZq
[+] [-] jstevens85|16 years ago|reply
[+] [-] heyitsnick|16 years ago|reply
Or, those who are too focused looking for something else generally consider themselves to be unlucky.
Self-reporting on if you are "lucky" or not is a reflection on the positiveness, motivation and optimism of the person. Not if you are actually "lucky" or not.
This study for me draws conclusions about people's outlook on their lives and how it effects their ability to concentrate on given tasks. Involving 'luck' in this is just for the headlines.
[+] [-] philk|16 years ago|reply
Optimism has a whole host of benefits that probably account for the "luck" that these individuals are enjoying.
[+] [-] kristiandupont|16 years ago|reply
[+] [-] ellyagg|16 years ago|reply
Partly, of course, that's because I don't believe in a person being "lucky". And, to the extent that concept is meaningful, I've always believed in "making your own luck", which I seem to do just fine.
You don't need to be a superstitious person to gain all the benefits of "luck".
[+] [-] albertsun|16 years ago|reply
I think it'd be interesting to see whether HNers consider themselves lucky or unlucky overall. I have a guess, but don't want to reveal it for fear of prejudicing the answers.
[+] [-] marilyn|16 years ago|reply
1. Trust your intuition 2. Seek variety to invite chance and new opportunities 3. Look to the positive side of your situation
[+] [-] argv_empty|16 years ago|reply
[+] [-] sophacles|16 years ago|reply
As such luck really cannot be isolated as a factor. Instead tho, people who claim to be lucky can easily be isolated. They can be studied for what makes them "lucky". In this case it seems to be at least somewhat correlated with openness to unexpected outcomes.
[+] [-] jimfl|16 years ago|reply
[+] [-] emarcotte|16 years ago|reply
[+] [-] sp332|16 years ago|reply
[+] [-] unknown|16 years ago|reply
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[+] [-] ThomPete|16 years ago|reply
[+] [-] psycandrew|16 years ago|reply
[+] [-] wpgblizzard|16 years ago|reply