Take the fraction of truck drivers that will become pirates
Multiply by the number of trucks that an average pirate can hijack, deliver the merchandise to a reseller of stolen goods, get paid, and launder the money before getting caught.
Divide by how many shipments a truck driver currently makes per year.
And that's an estimate of the fraction of merchandise that will be pirated.
I suspect the answer is no more than 1%, in which case it is absorbable along with other kinds of lossage.
This really needs more attention/consideration. Self-driving anything seems like a ripe target, as the perceived "harm" is to a corporation not a human driver/operator. That is, theives will not have to hurt anyone to get the goods.
This seems like it has already been "solved" by trains- moving targets are hard, cargo is anonymous, stationary targets are in semi-secured railyards, and shrinkage is part of the cost of doing business.
Who wants to hijack a truck and find its full of breakfast cereal?
tlb|9 years ago
Take the fraction of truck drivers that will become pirates
Multiply by the number of trucks that an average pirate can hijack, deliver the merchandise to a reseller of stolen goods, get paid, and launder the money before getting caught.
Divide by how many shipments a truck driver currently makes per year.
And that's an estimate of the fraction of merchandise that will be pirated.
I suspect the answer is no more than 1%, in which case it is absorbable along with other kinds of lossage.
monkmartinez|9 years ago
topkai22|9 years ago
Who wants to hijack a truck and find its full of breakfast cereal?