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onewaystreet | 8 years ago

Just in the past three months bitcoin has gone from $1500 to $3000 to $2500 to $1800 to $2900 to $2500 to $3400. You'd make more with a lot less risk just waiting for a dip and buying.

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dsacco|8 years ago

That volatility is perfect for a mean reversion strategy.

adjkant|8 years ago

I've been testing this out over the past 6 days with $500 to see how it would actually work while keeping my current amount in. I've been working a bit more on the micro level, but it still is pretty consistent in its volatility (lol).

So far I have a 4.6% total return on trying to capitalize on the volatility. That's much less than if I had just held at the original buy. I'm going to keep doing it though to see how it works in long term flat and drop periods. When you hold yourself to rules, it also decreases maximum losses too. I see the strategy as a great way to make safe money relative to crypto.

Right now if the volatility and my returns hold for even just two years, it could be going from $500 to over 100K. It makes it really tempting not to increase the amount I'm playing with even slightly, but I have yet to see how the strategy fares on long term drops. I do have confidence it will perform well on long term flat periods though.