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zyztem | 8 years ago

Estimating production volume from serial numbers? Looks like a job for a German tank problem: https://www.theregister.co.uk/2014/05/20/german_tank_problem...

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fnayr|8 years ago

What do you do if Tesla is using a Linear Congruential Generator[1] to generate their serial numbers? Then the highest number found gives no information, even probabilistically. I don't know what the laws are on VINs though, so maybe it's forced to be sequential.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Linear_congruential_generator

pimlottc|8 years ago

I don't think they're attaching significance to the actual VIN numbers, just looking at the total number of unique VINs