[tinymollusk]

I agree about this particular comment -- your interpretation is likely correct. I was just trying to connect it larger, to the decision making skills that I'm working on (and thought might be interesting to a HN audience).

FWIW, the Pigs incident is widely cited as an example within this sphere. It has nothing to do with whether the advisor was previously skilled -- it has more to do with thinking about how people understand and use the information I communicate. (and that using numbers instead of words seems to be considered "best practice" in the decision making community).