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Show HN: Football Prediction API

36 points| boggio | 8 years ago |boggio-analytics.com

29 comments

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rorygreig|8 years ago

This seems too good to be true. If they could actually predict football results with better-than-random accuracy, then why wouldn't they just use this themselves to make loads of money on betting markets?

notahacker|8 years ago

I don't think they're claiming their statistics-based predictions are necessarily more accurate than the bookmakers' odds

boggio|8 years ago

It has 69% accuracy, that means you still lose 31% of the time.

crispyporkbites|8 years ago

Neat! What is it's past performance / accuracy like?

boggio|8 years ago

There is an endpoint that measures accuracy.

Long-term accuracy is 69%.

Giorgi|8 years ago

No Champions league? or UEFA cup? Just local leagues?

boggio|8 years ago

No.. maybe in the future.

joncrane|8 years ago

I think you should call it "soccer" or at least "association football" in this context.

LittlePeter|8 years ago

No we should call american football "Hand Egg" instead

dna_polymerase|8 years ago

In Germany (one of the countries with long standing football tradition) it is called "Fußball" which splits into "Fuß" (foot) and "Ball" (ball). It makes much more sense than calling "American Football" Football, as in "American Football" the feet are less dominant than in "soccer" (where hand usage is actually a foul).

kefir_cultist|8 years ago

Interesting but football is such a terrible sport to predict statistically outside of a few teams (the outliers) in each league. Kind of hope there would me tools out there to mess with play patterns and tendencies more than the actual result, I think that it would be actually useful plus such a resource paired with a decent analyst would net a way better prediction rate. But betting.jpg

jxub|8 years ago

>mess with play patterns and tendencies

Maybe you should get involved with Data Science, this field is all about playing with patterns (and hopefully finding a result), and even thinks like SVM's, random forests and genetic algorithms aren't really hard to grok and apply in that area.

There are some scientists involved with betting, but this field has really low profit margins IMHO. Personally, I view algorithmic trading as more interesting but YMMV.