[vilmosi]

> For instance in Germany the numbers vary from 75%-90% of immigrants expected to be unable to find a job within 5 years

Given 12% of Germany is foreign born and the country has 3.5% unemployment, something feels off about these numbers and conclusions.

[TangoTrotFox]

If somehow it was not clear, the numbers were referencing (in the case of employment) and being driven (in the case of violence) by the recent surge in refugees Germany took in. The 75% comes from Aydan Özoğuz, commissioner for integration, refugees and integration in Germany [1]. The upper end comes from recognition that they're taking an optimistic view of things. As of the start of 2017 Germany had taken in 1.2 million migrants, and from government numbers 34,000, or 2.8%, were employed, with a fair chunk of those in temp jobs. [2] Getting to 25% employment from there in 5 years is perhaps not impossible, but it's extremely optimistic.

[1] - https://www.ft.com/content/022de0a4-54f4-11e7-9fed-c19e27000...

[2] - https://www.thelocal.de/20161219/so-far-only-34000-refugees-...

[vilmosi]

No, it's not clear, because you're talking about refugees in particular vs immigration in general. Two groups subject to very different laws and circumstances.