(no title)
cup
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7 years ago
The downside of this though is that unexpected positive results sometimes get buried. For instance, clinical trials have to report all adverse effects but not positive effects. We've had drugs tested for symptom X fail to have any effect, while causing bald people to have their hair grow back. Yet the company we were testing it for wasn't interested and those results never made it into the public domain.
rickycook|7 years ago
if they’re positive enough then the drug company will fund another study with that as the primary outcome. that seems prudent too: it should be the primary thing you’re examining so that you can design the study correctly, rather than a simple “oh and by the way” side note
jonathankoren|7 years ago
Unless you're looking for the effect from the outset, you can't be sure that what you saw wasn't actually random. There's a term for what you're describing, it's p-hacking, and it's explicitly the very thing declaring what you're looking for before you run the test is designed to prevent.
Like many science related topics, there's a XKCD about p-hacking that describes a similar scenario to your example: https://xkcd.com/882/