In the Republican party of some people's wistful imagination, perhaps, but not in the actual one.
Trump is broadly unpopular with the American people as a whole, and every common demographic subset of them other "white males without a college degree".
But among Republican party members? His claims of "94%" are bullshit, naturally, but the actual results of real mainstream polling[1] put it north of 80%.
To paraphrase Marlo Stanfield: A lot of people want America to be one way. But it's the other way.
The Atlantic has an article out about him today, including interviews where he's extremely reluctant to criticize the sitting Commander in Chief. Him entering the primaries wouldn't fit with that.
> "The duty of silence. If you leave an administration, you owe some silence. When you leave an administration over clear policy differences, you need to give the people who are still there as much opportunity as possible to defend the country. They still have the responsibility of protecting this great big experiment of ours. I know the malevolence some people feel for this country, and we have to give the people who are protecting us some time to carry out their duties without me adding my criticism to the cacophony that is right now so poisonous."
Possible, but I doubt it. The early non-incumbent front-runner almost never wins the nomination, and while Biden has a big lead, it's far from a majority of the party and all of his opposition and most of the party electorate differ from him in the same direction (e.g., Democrats prefer Medicare for All over keeping Obamacare by a 2:1 margin.)
As the set of candidates narrows (and it will considerably before the first primary votes are cast), that doesn't work in Biden’s favor.
hackerbabz|6 years ago
veidr|6 years ago
Trump is broadly unpopular with the American people as a whole, and every common demographic subset of them other "white males without a college degree".
But among Republican party members? His claims of "94%" are bullshit, naturally, but the actual results of real mainstream polling[1] put it north of 80%.
To paraphrase Marlo Stanfield: A lot of people want America to be one way. But it's the other way.
[1]: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-claims-higher-...
ceejayoz|6 years ago
> "The duty of silence. If you leave an administration, you owe some silence. When you leave an administration over clear policy differences, you need to give the people who are still there as much opportunity as possible to defend the country. They still have the responsibility of protecting this great big experiment of ours. I know the malevolence some people feel for this country, and we have to give the people who are protecting us some time to carry out their duties without me adding my criticism to the cacophony that is right now so poisonous."
https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2019/10/james-m...
reallydontask|6 years ago
Svip|6 years ago
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-hard-to-know-what-k...
sleepysysadmin|6 years ago
It's pretty much going to be Trump vs Biden.
atlasunshrugged|6 years ago
dragonwriter|6 years ago
Possible, but I doubt it. The early non-incumbent front-runner almost never wins the nomination, and while Biden has a big lead, it's far from a majority of the party and all of his opposition and most of the party electorate differ from him in the same direction (e.g., Democrats prefer Medicare for All over keeping Obamacare by a 2:1 margin.)
As the set of candidates narrows (and it will considerably before the first primary votes are cast), that doesn't work in Biden’s favor.
Ididntdothis|6 years ago
A 74 year old vs a 78 year old. Pretty appealing options.