[beatle_sauce]

The pro-Beijing camp expected the support of the "silent majority" in the election, which did not exist, but was reported by the Liason Office.

The problem: "The people in charge of manipulating Hong Kong public opinion for the CCP [the Liason Office] are also the people charged with reporting on their own success." Source: https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/11/25/hong-kong-election-beij...

[baybal2]

Bad assumptions. "Silent majorities" do not vote in their majority.

Minorities are almost always significantly bigger voters proportionally — a greatly counterintuitive point about democratic states.