[account73466]

This time it is different.^{tm}

More seriously, we are almost about to

i) Generate a good book using a short intro.

ii) Generate a meaningful video using a few photos and a basic text scenario.

Which makes us closer to generate movies on demand (say in 2025) and then good luck to people claiming that the current progress in AI is a bubble.

[azinman2]

We’re no where near a “good book” (we can’t even do a good 3 paragraphs reliably), nor a “meaningful video.”

You’re confusing a 1000 monkeys (transformers) with 1 human intelligence (AGI). That giant leap hasn’t been met.

[AlexCoventry]

Have you seen the tables in Appendix E (starts p. 16) of the Transformer-XL paper? I think they're pretty good.

https://arxiv.org/pdf/1901.02860.pdf

[account73466]

I guess you are not from the field.

Edit: I was right, he is an engineer and not a researcher who is active in the field.

[mamp]

AI winters are caused because people keep thinking the effort required to achieve some improvement is linear instead of exponential.

[monocasa]

I mean, even if we were to get nothing else out of the current AI boom, it'd e hard to call it a bubble as much as the 80s crash.