[scottlegrand2]

While I don't think there's going to be an AI winter either, I don't think GPT-2 will achieve sentience or anything close to it.

And that's for the same reason that no matter how much data they feed Tesla's self-driving AI, it will still try to kill you now and then. The problem space is just too big. All the people I know in this space don't think it will be solved for at least a decade and maybe not even then.

But I do suspect the 2020s will see the creation of agents combining classical algorithms with deep neural networks to do amazing things in domains that are closed and constant. But they're all going to be glorified (yet wonderful) unitaskers.

The only thing that worries me is that I don't trust FAANG to do the right thing ever anymore, and it's amazing to me that so many have opted into the panopticon of things in exchange for the ability to order stuff and turn their gadgets on and off.