The actual VF piece for this was posted weeks ago, but languishes; we'd rather yell at each other about Apple than read about the collapse of the economy in one of the world's major technical centers.
"It may be that 20 years from now we’re all laughing about what fools we were for thinking China was such a threat. I don’t believe that the Chinese political system can sustain a really successful economy. There’s going to have to be a political revolution there before they’re competitive with us. But what do I know?"
That's an excellent piece of writing. Hopefully wide dissemination of pieces like this will start to put paid to the idea of 'too big to fail' and the idea that a government should underwrite a banks losses. That sort of thing kills long term growth and endenders moral hazard the next time a boom comes around.
New rule: governments shouldn't ask for advice about what to do in a banking crisis from a company who owns a ton of bonds in those banks. The conflict of interest and lack of accountability is astounding. Politics suck: you're in charge of a system you don't understand and the only people you can ask for advice who do understand it are sitting at the same poker table. When you go bust the public blames you as they suffer through austerity.
I also loved this quote from the story:
And then they saw him and said, Who the fuck was that??? Is that the fucking guy who is in charge of the money??? That’s when everyone panicked.
Funny headline given the opening paragraphs point the blame at the bankers. Really it was a small group of bankers, politicians and regulators that crashed the country - backed up by a dis-interested electorate (until it was too late).
I live in Ireland and passed around Michael Lewis' original Vanity Fair piece (link below) to friends and family, the majority of whom were in awe of the depth and breadth of insight in this article. There was a consensus of disbelief that someone who was not Irish could, in such a short space of time, grasp so many subtleties about the Irish situation, not just economically but culturally, and with insights about figures in Irish politics that were extremely revealing (e.g. Brian Lenihan). I feel this is a remarkable piece of writing that far exceeds anything that has been written about the crisis by Irish journalists themselves:
It's a great article and brings a lot of clarity to the events. He squarely lays the blame with Brian Lenihan - ("A single decision sank Ireland") - but I can't imagine the decision to guarantee the bondholders was his alone.
Also the bus was already in the ditch at that point - that decision helped make matter worse, but there was no soft landing possible at that point.
[+] [-] tptacek|15 years ago|reply
[+] [-] alecco|15 years ago|reply
http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2179268
[+] [-] vdm|15 years ago|reply
[+] [-] tokenadult|15 years ago|reply
I think Lewis nails this.
[+] [-] unknown|15 years ago|reply
[deleted]
[+] [-] brc|15 years ago|reply
[+] [-] po|15 years ago|reply
I also loved this quote from the story:
And then they saw him and said, Who the fuck was that??? Is that the fucking guy who is in charge of the money??? That’s when everyone panicked.
[+] [-] OliverM|15 years ago|reply
[+] [-] WildUtah|15 years ago|reply
An uninterested electorate. They are discovering now that they were never disinterested.
And they erred by being uninterested. I hope a lot of potentates will lose their jobs and influence when the situation is rectified.
[+] [-] iwwr|15 years ago|reply
At first I thought that name was some sort of joke.
[+] [-] SteveC|15 years ago|reply
[+] [-] merkel|15 years ago|reply
http://www.vanityfair.com/business/features/2011/03/michael-...
[+] [-] thailandstartup|15 years ago|reply
Also the bus was already in the ditch at that point - that decision helped make matter worse, but there was no soft landing possible at that point.
[+] [-] va_coder|15 years ago|reply
[+] [-] ruiseal|15 years ago|reply