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eric_bullington | 6 years ago
It almost certainly jumped hosts to humans in November of 2019[1]. It has not been circulating in humans for long.
Indeed, several scientific publications have come out in the past decade that more or less predicted that a similar strain of SARS would jump hosts and become a pandemic disease[2].
Also, technically the Spanish Flu was just a bad flu season, right? Now, few believe now that Covid-19 will be nearly as bad as the 1918 pandemic (at least in its current mutation), but it will almost certainly worse than the 1957 flu pandemic, which was bad enough and which resulted in many governmental edicts similar to today, with many school and library closings.
I agree we need to keep cool and not overreact or panic, but we also need to take this thing very seriously. Even the experts are trying to figure this thing out. Disease modeling has come a long way since 1918, but modelers are not seers.
1. https://www.statnews.com/2020/01/24/dna-sleuths-read-coronav...
2. https://www.nature.com/articles/nm.3985
3. https://www.encyclopedia.com/media/educational-magazines/inf...
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