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rs86 | 6 years ago

How could one add undertesting to the model?

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azepoi|6 years ago

See the supplimentary material of this paper [1] They split the I compartment into two, one for the documented infected and one for undocumented infected.

[1] Substantial undocumented infection facilitates the rapid dissemination of novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV2) Li et al. DOI: 10.1126/science.abb3221 https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/03/24/scie...

shawnz|6 years ago

Testing isn't part of the model at all, it operates only on the true numbers of susceptible/infected/recovered. Testing only gives you an idea of what those might be.

pugworthy|6 years ago

That said, it does have the potential to impact the perception of danger to individuals. And perception of danger should influence the β factor the author mentions. Learning that a lot of people have it or a lot of people are dying for example may cause people to take it more seriously, and thus influence β.