[endorphone]

"They have no motive to supply false data, and lots of reasons to make it accurate."

They are working with garbage data. They know this. They admit it. Then they rationalize that they can invent real data out of it. And as an exercise that is okay -- they state exactly what they are doing with very limited, poor data. They haven't claimed it was more than it is.

This is not the canonical statement on death rates, and compared to actual emerging data is completely irrelevant.

"are also authors of the Imperial study that has significantly influenced the UK government response"

The catastrophic and flippant UK response? The one that thought they would obtain some "herd immunity" by doing nothing, and then realizing cases were skyrocketing mimicked what other countries were doing? That UK?

This is not a compelling claim.

[chimprich]

> The one that thought they would obtain some "herd immunity" by doing nothing, and then realizing cases were skyrocketing mimicked what other countries were doing?

Yes, that one. This was the study that convinced the UK government to change course from the original unrestrained herd immunity strategy.