top | item 23131698

(no title)

chills | 5 years ago

I think if I was not aware of the Monty Hall problem and I ran that simulation, I'd assume there was a bug in my code.

discuss

order

AmericanChopper|5 years ago

The trick to understanding the Monty Hall problem isn’t to run it 1000 times, it’s to imagine it with 1000 doors. Thinking about the problem with an arbitrarily large number of doors make the solution intuitively obvious. No code required.

mcprwklzpq|5 years ago

This trick did not help me. Intuition told me in the end i have to choose between 2 doors and the chance of winning is 1/2. And it is if i choose in the end at random. This is what made the question confusing for me.

theelous3|5 years ago

Yes! This was how I first figured out how to understand it, and how I explain it to anyone if it comes up. It's immediately obvious with a large number of doors.

jonsen|5 years ago

I pick 333 doors, and Monty opens 333 doors?