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Sschellbach | 5 years ago

"Inflation, as this term was always used everywhere and especially in this country, means increasing the quantity of money and bank notes in circulation and the quantity of bank deposits subject to check. But people today use the term `inflation' to refer to the phenomenon that is an inevitable consequence of inflation, that is the tendency of all prices and wage rates to rise. The result of this deplorable confusion is that there is no term left to signify the cause of this rise in prices and wages. There is no longer any word available to signify the phenomenon that has been, up to now, called inflation. . . . As you cannot talk about something that has no name, you cannot fight it. Those who pretend to fight inflation are in fact only fighting what is the inevitable consequence of inflation, rising prices. Their ventures are doomed to failure because they do not attack the root of the evil. They try to keep prices low while firmly committed to a policy of increasing the quantity of money that must necessarily make them soar. As long as this terminological confusion is not entirely wiped out, there cannot be any question of stopping inflation." - Ludwig von Mises

Your 60% drop claim is rather vapid considering I could pull any other arbitrary time horizon and give you a massive increase in purchasing power.

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notahacker|5 years ago

It's a cute quote, but there's a reason modern economists don't conflate labour inputs and value or monetary expansion and price inflation. It's actually much more useful not to use the same words for phenomena when you're studying the degree to which they're related. And more useful to play semantic games when the data unambiguously refutes the argument that fixing one value necessarily holds the other constant, of course... (Getting the term 'inflation' associated primarily with price rises was the one battle Quantity Theorists won.)

You are welcome to prefer to use 'inflation' as it was used 100 years ago instead of as it is used now, but 'awful' and 'silly' were compliments once....

> Your 60% drop claim is rather vapid considering I could pull any other arbitrary time horizon and give you a massive increase in purchasing power.

No, what is vapid is the pretence that an asset has the advantage of 'zero unexpected inflation' when it's lost purchasing power at a rate which would be termed hyperinflation were it a national currency. It's a bit like defending the validity of immortality elixirs by arguing that over other time frames, the patient survived.

Sschellbach|5 years ago

Calling early price discovery leg down for Bitcoin hyperinflation is dishonest at best. Even ironic as hyperinflation occurs when there is a continuing rapid increase in money supply.

If that was hyperinflation, what would you call Bitcoin's 150% leg up between December 2018 and today?

htfu|5 years ago

"In theoretical investigation there is only one meaning that can rationally be attached to the expression Inflation: an increase in the quantity of money (in the broader sense of the term, so as to include fiduciary media as well), that is not offset by a corresponding increase in the need for money (again in the broader sense of the term), so that a fall in the objective exchange-value of money must occur." - Also your guy

Even Mises acknowledges there are two parts to the system and that it's, in the end, about relative pace. If that is so, the phenomenon must still be able to occur regardless of how frozen your supply, just off the second variable.

"Our fringe school likes to use two common terms opposite from how everyone else does, hence you are wrong" isn't an actual argument, by the way.

Sschellbach|5 years ago

This isn't opposite, its closer to a root cause than an opposite term. Anyway, supply and demand govern all prices, I wasn't arguing against such basic economic tenants. I'm just pointing to what inflation is and that is an expansion of money supply.