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menybuvico | 5 years ago

Right here and now? Nowhere. In the next 2-3 years? Well, Belarus, Ukraine and several nations around the Caspian sea have some akward situations that might escalate into something big, especially now that U.S. focus is on domestic matters and others (including the EU) might try to expand their zones of influence.

In 5-10 years time, a lot could happen, depending on how the political and financial situations develop for the next year or so. There's a lot of tension right now, and worst case scenario after Brexit and COVID could mean prolonged financial difficulties that result in social unrest, and once you reach that point there's a lot of stuff that can go down-hill very fast.

The probability is low, of course, but the possibility is there.

EDIT: Oh, yeah, and the Greece/Turkey situation that a sibling comment mentioned is an eternal source of fun. Also, anything happening in the Near-East, like Lebanon, Syria and Israel has a potential to affect Europe and things turn quickly over there.

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