> By April 1st, 2022, it will be accepted by health professionals that a vitamin D treatment protocol similar to that used in the study is better than existing treatments
I think you want a more crisp end condition than that. There seem to be lots of claims that remain in dispute for long times, or where "everyone knows" it works but there's no official recognition.
For example, the FDA does not allow claiming on boxes of vitamin C that it treats any disease, even scurvy.
Interesting project offering a $100,000 bet that vitamin D reduces Covid mortality. If you were skeptical of that trial, here's your chance to make some money on that belief.
[+] [-] tlb|5 years ago|reply
I think you want a more crisp end condition than that. There seem to be lots of claims that remain in dispute for long times, or where "everyone knows" it works but there's no official recognition.
For example, the FDA does not allow claiming on boxes of vitamin C that it treats any disease, even scurvy.
[+] [-] gshotwell|5 years ago|reply
> "Both sides will agree in advance on the specifics of how a winner is determined, and what arbitration mechanism to use, if need be."
[+] [-] gshotwell|5 years ago|reply