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ajbonkoski | 5 years ago

Stopped reading at:

"In the past week or so, fortunes have reversed. Technology stocks have sold off. Value stocks have rallied, as prospects for a coronavirus vaccine raise hopes of a quick return to a normal economy. This might be the start of a long-heralded rotation from overpriced tech to far cheaper cyclicals—stocks that do well in a strong economy. Perhaps value is back."

Haha. No. It's not back.

Over the past YTD, AAPL has returned 70%. The article's publish date is 11/14/2020. Around that timeframe, AAPL moved less than 5%. This is not evidence for collective change in investing philosophy. Perhaps tech is over-bought, but you have to argue better than this. It took me all of 2 minutes to check.

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MattyMc|5 years ago

Comparing the closing price of stocks today with one year ago: TSLA +900% AMD +250% ETSY +400% PTON +350% AAPL +200%

Enormous gains. The article should really have more data to describe this pullback.

imtringued|5 years ago

That's insane. Of those stocks only the growth of AMD is justified because it was starting off from a small base anyway and it is in the process of replacing Intel entirely so creeping up to Intel's market cap is not surprising.

Tesla makes absolutely no sense to me. Etsy is just an online shop and it sells a lot of crap. Pton is probably just a corona fad.

AAPL is slightly encouraging because it obviously has some well justified growth left in it but it's not overhyped to the extreme extent as the other stocks.

All stocks are still growing way too quickly in my opinion though.

reducesuffering|5 years ago

And it took me all of 2 minutes to check that the last months US total market performance was +2.5% while the canonical US Value ETF, VTV, returned +4.4%. That is what they mean.

Tinyyy|5 years ago

Are we really looking at a months worth of returns and trying to draw any conclusions here?

jldugger|5 years ago

CEOs complain about short term investors measuring results in quarters, and here you are giving them a month.