I have no credentials or scientific evidence, but I never questioned the rising cases with each wave since I assume its just a property of the exponential nature of the virus spread: in march, say you had 5 people unknowingly carrying corona-virus arrive in your city and each of them spreads it to 5 more people in a two week period, your outbreak is 50 people (seems small now). But now in December, your city has about 350 people spreading the virus but only to 1.5 close contacts in a two week period, you'd expect the next outbreak to be 500 people.I think hospitalizations are still a somewhat consistent percentage of cases, and will increase as the number of cases go up.
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