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Flemlord | 5 years ago

Tesla has been shipping cars with integrated self-driving hardware for years. Every car is transmitting data back to Tesla. They have been turning on additional self-driving features every few months for years.

Tesla is doing a limited beta of full self driving now which will be widely expanded in just a few months. I don’t understand how anybody but Tesla is poised to have self driving cars in the near future.

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wefarrell|5 years ago

Waymo currently has self driving cars on public roads today, with actual paying customers: https://arstechnica.com/cars/2020/10/waymo-finally-launches-...

Meanwhile Tesla has taken no steps to get approval from regulators (feel free to prove me wrong). Until they start to do so, their self driving program is pure vaporware.

Also, to date they have shipped no features that they are legally allowed to call "self driving" or "autonomous".

nickik|5 years ago

Waymo has self driving cars with a tiny amount of paying customers in a tiny are losing 10s of millions of dollars every year.

Tesla on the other-hand is MAKING money with self driving technology already.

What something is called doesn't really matter, I bet on the company that has 100ks to millions of cars with advanced self-driving computers and hardware on the road in daily use over a company that has a couple 100 cars in Arizona any day.

The complexity of self driving is in the complexity of the road network in the real world. The only way to solve it is to have millions of cars learning all the complexity and finding the corner cases.

The real money in self driving is not offering ride-share in small geo-locked areas.

Gustomaximus|5 years ago

I think the position is then;

- Waymo seems to be ahead in some targeted ring fenced areas given active service.

- Tesla seems to be more ready for nationwide rollout due to already collecting nationwide driver data + cars.

The question is which one is more likely to result in a broad scale market first, or other significant market revenue generating position.

It seems likely Tesla could roll out taxis to a ringfenced area in Phoenix (or similar ideal area) relatively easily. While Waymo is a long way from offering a nationwide service compared to Tesla. This in my mind puts Tesla ahead but there probably a bunch of other factors known and unknown too.

rcxdude|5 years ago

Tesla 'self-driving' (even 'full self driving') is a rebranded driver assist (although an advanced one). Not only is Tesla behind the others, they're basically in completely different worlds. No-one I've talked to in the self-driving car industry considers their approach to have merit if you're looking for an actually autonomous car. This is an excellent example of how marketing can decieve.