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Deaths from the current year can take a while to be finalized, and Decembers can be one of the deadliest months. If the U.S. hits 500k excess deaths this year, that's still a 20-25% hike on our normal death rate (2.7M give or take). Seems like Sweden will surpass past years in the end, perhaps by a similar percentage.

discuss

iridium_core|5 years ago

If we linearly extrapolate the December 18 data to December 31st, we get 91773 * (366/353) = 95,152.

Which would indeed be the highest level this decade, but still only 3.2% higher than 2018.

Sweden's 2019 deaths were also the lowest in the decade, so there was a lot of built up 'dry tinder'. In fact the excess deaths in 2020 match up almost exactly with the 'non-deaths' of 2019.

This concept is also matched by research:

https://www.news-medical.net/news/20201116/Study-compares-de...

"In Sweden, the observed increase in all-cause mortality during Covid-19 was partly due to a lower than expected mortality preceding the epidemic and the observed excess mortality, was followed by a lower than expected mortality after the first Covid-19 wave. This may suggest mortality displacement."

strictnein|5 years ago

Referring to fragile humans as "dry tinder" is really something.

djsumdog|5 years ago

Thanks for posting this. I do think we are greatly overreacting to this. The drug industries have wanted to push mRNA treatments for years and have never been able to get them approved. They have a vested interested in leveraging this perceived crisis.

Vitamin D, ivermectin and even some inhaled steroids have all shown to been effective in treating the worst cases. The insanely high amplification of PCR assays are padding case numbers with false positives. Any contradictory information and academic viewpoints are getting censored on every major platform. This is totally madness.