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defertoreptar | 5 years ago
Real median personal income went up almost 8% from the year before the tax cuts (2017) and 2019.
defertoreptar | 5 years ago
Real median personal income went up almost 8% from the year before the tax cuts (2017) and 2019.
jfengel|5 years ago
That's not zero, but compared to GDP, the stock market, and other measures of overall economic health -- which have gone up by an order of magnitude or more -- the median is practically immobile.
And for much of that time, it was even more immobile. The median was $31k in 1997, and was $31k in 2014. It bottomed out at $30k in 2012; it has been rising since but that was almost two decades of complete stagnation -- while GDP rose and stock markets climbed.
defertoreptar|5 years ago
Let's analyze three periods:
1953-1985: no significant trend in effective capital gains tax
1985-1996: upward trend and higher capital gains tax
1996-2020: downward trend
Now let's compare those periods to real median family income (which tracks to 1953). https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MEFAINUSA672N
Annualized growth in real median income:
1953-1985: 1.8%
1985-1996: 0.8%
1996-2020: 2.0%
Real median income growth during lower capital gains tax policy was twice that of the period of higher capital gains tax policy.