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st1x7 | 5 years ago

This is just science fiction. To mention "recent developments" in the introduction is somewhat misleading considering how far the current state of technology is from their hypothetical superintelligence.

We don't have superintelligence, we don't have the remote idea of how to get started on creating it, in all likelihood we don't even have the correct hardware for it or any idea what the correct hardware would look like. We also don't know whether it's achievable at all.

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plutonorm|5 years ago

That's the mainstream opinion on every. single. revolutionary advance. That you and everyone else believes it's not going to happen ever has almost no predictive power as to whether it actually will.

semi-extrinsic|5 years ago

It's not so much "opinion on a revolutionary advance". When it comes to AGI-related stuff, we are quite literally like contemporaries of Leonardo da Vinci, who have seen his plans for the helicopter and are postulating that helicopters will cause big problems if they fly too high and crash into the mechanism that is holding up the sky above us.

Also, this is not the mainstream opinion on e.g. fusion, or electric cars and smartphones (20 years ago), or a computer in every home (50 years ago). Those have been arguments about money and practicality, not about "we don't even know how such technology would look or what it would be based on".

peteradio|5 years ago

I'm sure there's a fallacy in the following, but here goes:, Who could have predicted the improvements in computation in the last century? Would someone a century have extrapolated sun-sized machines need to compute a nations taxes based on current SOA? We don't have it and then all of the sudden we will. Its worth recognizing the potential harnesses before the beast is born.

UnFleshedOne|5 years ago

Well, we do know that normal intelligence (superintelligence from chimps point of view) is achievable just fine.