top | item 27973104

(no title)

mitjak | 4 years ago

this seems to suggest there's a lot more undiagnosed cases walking around in the wild than we know about.

discuss

order

hereforphone|4 years ago

That's already been established. Many cases are asymptomatic or present mild symptoms that won't motivate the ill to seek out a test. Testing by country, state (province, etc.), and even region varies wildly.

mitjak|4 years ago

right, i'm not making a new claim. i'm saying, that's one of the few conclusions we can draw from this data. it doesn't say anything about e.g. catching covid at the hospital, whether existing data on health consequences and mortality is less relevant, or that "covid is mild / just a flu" as some people seem to be concluding.

oceanplexian|4 years ago

This was apparent last year from serologic antibody testing. The prevalence of antibodies was anywhere between 2-10x what we were finding in the tests, which made it pretty obvious that way more people had mild COVID than is being reported. Unfortunately, if someone picks up a runny nose and mild cold-like symptoms and then recovers, it doesn't make the news. But if you have a one-in-a-million freak case where a 25 year old ends up in the hospital testing positive, it gets plastered on every news publication and is repeated ad-nauseam even though it is a misrepresentation.

makomk|4 years ago

Well, yeah, but we knew that already. The UK has been monitoring the actual number of people infected with Covid via random sampling of the population for well over a year and it's always been rather higher than the detected cases, despite having a lot more mass testing than other countries.

TechBro8615|4 years ago

Keep going. What does that say about the reported IFR that’s used to justify lockdowns?

mitjak|4 years ago

nothing conclusive. we should lock down harder, could be one of the conclusions.