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Get ready for many more record-shattering heatwaves

75 points| sebwi | 4 years ago |axios.com

28 comments

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[+] meemo|4 years ago|reply
If the situation is this bad now, how bad is it going to be in ten years? Ugh.
[+] newt_slowly|4 years ago|reply
Ten years? Just think of 60 years from now, a time that would be expected to be within the natural lifespan of children born today.

I don't know how people don't understand that we face, without exaggeration, an existential crisis.

[+] murat131|4 years ago|reply
Societies globally are expected to collapse around 2040s-2050s and I hope that'll be the wake up call that won't be too late for the very few children of today who are going to survive it.
[+] vidanay|4 years ago|reply
Society has been going to collapse in 50 years for the last 500 years.
[+] tbihl|4 years ago|reply
Of course, there is almost no discussion about methodology and data sets, which is just about all there is when it comes to these modeling studies. The closest they come is saying that the paper preceeded the pacnorwest heat wave.

It seems like the closest you could hope to come to scientific method in these studies is to try to divide the world's geography into a set of geographical pairs that could be considered climatically similar but distant enough from one another to be decorrelated in terms of weather systems. For example, maybe Mediterranean climates on the Mediterranean paired with comparable regions in coastal California. Then, use a random selection of one region from each pair in all the set of pairs to be used as training data, with the other component of each pair for testing.

Maybe this is already done? I recognize that drawing such equivalency is impossible, but it seems like it might be an improvement nonetheless.

[+] happppy|4 years ago|reply
we are doomed!!
[+] jneumann004|4 years ago|reply
The worst part is that we've known we were doomed for over a hundred years.
[+] earthtolazlo|4 years ago|reply
That seems like a reasonable assessment of the situation. I don’t know what it is with HN and absurd contrarian takes.