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swarnie_ | 4 years ago

You've had the vaccine for longer then almost anyone, what's happening?

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orbifold|4 years ago

The vaccine does unfortunately not work as well as hoped for in the case of the delta variant + a lot of people are still unvaccinated and delta is much more infectious. Cases and hospitalisations are also up in Israel https://graphics.reuters.com/world-coronavirus-tracker-and-m.... Here is a corresponding news item in Science: https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2021/08/grim-warning-israel-.... It also suggests that the protection against hospitalisation of the vaccine is not as good as it was hoped for among older people. From the publicly available data for Israel you can estimate the vaccine efficacy against hospitalisations to be ~59% (relative risk reduction).

twooster|4 years ago

Expanding on a sibling comment's reference to Simpson's paradox is the following analysis of the data:

https://www.covid-datascience.com/post/israeli-data-how-can-...

Basically, Israel is doing quite well even still. Yes, there's a reduction in efficacy, and yes there's breakthrough infections, but your risk of serious outcomes is still reduced by ~80%+, even in older populations _when correctly compared to unvaccinated older populations_.

whatever1|4 years ago

The states with the low vaccination rates are now paying the price of their politics.