[coriny]

They seem pretty good. This summer was a bit of a mystery, but otherwise things have tracked pretty well.

<jk> Obviously you can't determine anything without taking into account the estimated/guessed factors (extent of people movement, other restrictions) included in the models versus what really happened (new restrictions, lower than expected movement). And why only select this subset of forecasts, given they are produced daily/weekly (depending on urgency)? There was an early prediction that Covid would only cause ~30,000 deaths in the UK, why wasn't that included?

Do you have a link to anything that isn't Fox-news level cherry-picking? The Spectator is notoriously not a reliable source.

[walterbell]

Since there's currently a shortage of objective journalism, we're left with adversarial presentations. Above is one perspective. There must be other presentations or analysis from teams or organizations with varying incentives. Maybe even from the people creating the models? Hopefully someone can link them.