I'd say 99% of folks based on my 50+ years of experience on- and off-line. I think I've only known a handful of people who can think critically about their opinions.
I think causal/critical reasoning is not natural to humans, it has to be learned and can only be applied in limited fields. Humans by nature have survival thinking, not critical thinking. Of course survival depends on taking the correct decisions and that tends to correct some errors in thinking, but not all.
Interesting, the same applies to GPT-3. It just memorizes the surface of things without critical understanding. But that means it's just doing what the average human does, while being compared to the idealized critical thinking human.
visarga|4 years ago
Interesting, the same applies to GPT-3. It just memorizes the surface of things without critical understanding. But that means it's just doing what the average human does, while being compared to the idealized critical thinking human.