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pdog | 4 years ago

I'm struggling to understand how inflation is only 7.5% when every major line item comprising inflation is up much more than 7.5% over the past year.

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runako|4 years ago

You want Table 1 in the linked doc. The summary is the things getting more expensive fastest are also things that have lower weighting. In household budget terms, our biggest expenses by far are:

- housing

- health insurance

- childcare

Those have not gotten much more expensive (our health insurance got cheaper this year, housing is flat, childcare had a modest increase). Meanwhile gas for the vehicles costs much more, but comparatively fuel is a minor expense. When we weigh everything for our household, 7.5% seems high.

wonderwonder|4 years ago

I think your household may not track with many others. Not disagreeing with your personal number as I am sure they are accurate but for most they are very different. Housing is sky rocketing across the US. Rents are up over 30% in a lot of markets. Child care is basically free for most people after their kids start elementary school. Groceries are far more expensive than they used to be, I am going to estimate at least 20%. For me a very rough estimate of inflation is probably 15%. Luckily I have a 30 year fixed on my mortgage, if i was renting it would be far more. Rents in my city are up 25% last year and expected to increase a further 20% this year.

tenuousemphasis|4 years ago

Housing is flat?! That does not seem to track with the real world.

dragonwriter|4 years ago

> I'm struggling to understand how inflation is only 7.5% when every major line item comprising inflation is up much more than 7.5% over the past year.

They aren't. Food, apparel, medical care commodities, and non-energy services are up less than the overall amount. The things that are up more just get mentioned more because big numbers are newsworthy, small numbers aren't.

colinmhayes|4 years ago

CPI is taken using an average family's basket of goods. If you have different consumption patterns from the average family your effective inflation may differ.

beerandt|4 years ago

Manipulating just what is included in the "average basket of goods" and at what percentages is how.