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kisstheblade | 4 years ago

It won't. They haven't been able to get costs down in 10 years now, actually they have gone up.

And reusability has its own problems, like lowering the amount of payload by 25% (you need to save fuel for re-entry).

You can maybe get 10-20% savings if you ever get it working (see previous failed attempts...).

NOT Musk promised 100x price reduction for launches, that will never happen.

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panick21_|4 years ago

Total nonsense.

Go look at any analysis of launch prices over the last 20 years, they have gone down.

SpaceX came in with a very aggressive price and they have lowered it a bit since. However since they have no competition they have increased their own margin rather then lower the price further.

That has made them a highly valuable company capable of investing in next generation.

> And reusability has its own problems, like lowering the amount of payload by 25% (you need to save fuel for re-entry).

That argument is equally dumb for all other types of transportation as it is for rockets.

> You can maybe get 10-20% savings if you ever get it working (see previous failed attempts...).

Complete nonsense. Hardware on a large rockets is above 80% of the cost and large fixed cost can be improved also by higher flight rates that re-usability make possible.

Anybody that has studied that space seriously understand that massively lower cost are possible with full rapid re-usability.