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alevskaya | 4 years ago

Occam's razor does not mean every coincidence is meaningful - that's just pareidolia. The simplest scenario is that this viral pandemic is like every other one in known history - including the last coronavirus pandemic - a zoonotic crossover. Something that most professional biologists like myself has have been trying to stress.

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walkhour|4 years ago

I wish this was better explained to the public like myself.

Every now and then someone comes along and says: "there's no evidence the virus was engineered in a lab". But what would the evidence look like?

For example, is it possible to replicate a zoonotic crossover in a lab so that both hypothesis (zoonotic and lab leak) are equally probable?

> The simplest scenario is that this viral pandemic is like every other one in known history - including the last coronavirus pandemic - a zoonotic crossover.

Do you however give a positive probability to a lab leak? In what range does the probability lie according to most biologist? Is it more 20%, 2% or 0.2% that the lab leak is the correct hypothesis?

8note|4 years ago

I'd suggest that a wet market is a lab for replicating a zoonotic transfer.

Put a lot of immune compromised animals together with humans, and nature will find a way

peakaboo|4 years ago

The difference is - humans now has the capability to create viruses. And it's obvious that covid is created by humans. You just need to look at its generic code to figure that out.

alevskaya|4 years ago

Sorry? I was a genetic engineer for two decades who has done plenty of mammalian cell engineering and viral design work. There's simply nothing about the original SARS-COV-2 genetic sequence that looks artificial.

gus_massa|4 years ago

Do you have a link for that? Last time I read a preprint claiming that, it was about a few (4?) parts that covid-19 has that are equal to parts of of other virus. But the matches were very short and some of them not even consecutive parts. It's very easy to get matches by chance comparing all the genome of covid-19 with all the genome of other virus, and if you allow holes in the matches it's even easier.

Ekaros|4 years ago

I have always wondered if this wasn't a deep-state operation by USA to make China look bad. Would make perfect sense right? Collect some samples, make a virus, release in Wuhan. Then blame China on it to lessen their soft-power... Exactly type of evil stuff that USA is well known for... Like toppling democracies, assassinations and funding terrorism...

Sounds to me like most realistic and simplest explanation knowing the sides involved.

crest|4 years ago

Citation needed!

user-the-name|4 years ago

Lots of people looked at it, and they did not conclude that.