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rnentjes | 4 years ago

This might be an example of what you are looking for:

https://medium.com/@noclador/putins-plan-4652895de8ba

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readonthegoapp|4 years ago

> https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30597537

yeah, this is pretty good - pretty darn good.

i'll have to look at it more later when i can spend some time.

> Russia will invade Ukraine. It is foolish to hope otherwise. Russia has moved every halfway combat-ready unit to the border with Ukraine. This is the largest accumulation of forces since the Warsaw Pact invaded of Czechoslovakia in 1968. In all of its history NATO has never pulled as many troops together as Russia does right now.

this is what i'm talking about.

good job on this analyst person -- wonder if anyone (besides you) reads him.

AnimalMuppet|4 years ago

I also predicted it based on similar data. (I'm a nobody, so I can't claim to have predicted it "publicly". I don't think I even did so in an HN post. Also, I don't gather data or have sources - I just read stuff.)

I saw all the buildup during the Olympics, and I said that it was going to happen once the Olympics were over. I was two days early - I predicted Tuesday, it happened on Thursday.

I wasn't "three months" ahead of time - more like a week.

readonthegoapp|4 years ago

ps my initial link in this comment was just a typo mistake

...eh read some more of his stuff. Its all wrong and or cheerleading etc.