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halefx | 3 years ago

That study compared car crashes during Covid lockdown (when people drove far, far less) to gunshot deaths for 1-19 year olds. The overwhelming majority of gun violence is the US is gang activity which is populated heavily by 18 & 19 year old adults. If you consider them "children" for one study, yep, you'll get misleading results.

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anoonmoose|3 years ago

That study, which was linked to by me and another person, includes this chart, which shows that falling youth motor vehicle deaths and rising youth gunshot deaths are both long term trends

https://www.nejm.org/na101/home/literatum/publisher/mms/jour...

throwaway894345|3 years ago

Both of those trends show decreasing deaths until about 2013, after which point they began rising again. Notably, the gunshot death curve resembles the overall US homicide death curve, and we have a pretty good idea what was driving that trend.

Retric|3 years ago

Traffic fatalities where up in 2020 (38,824) and 2021 (42,915) vs 2019(36,355) and 2018(36,835). Fatalities per 100 million VMT jumped more dramatically to 1.34 in 2020 vs 1.1 in 2019.

I don’t know why. It might just be random variance, but it’s possible fewer drivers on the roads meant higher speeds or something. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motor_vehicle_fatality_rate_in...