[cosmic_shame]

Nature did a poll of IPCC authors (https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-02990-w) and 60% of them expect the world to warm >= 3°C.

[gandalfgeek]

Science does not work by popular vote.

[cosmic_shame]

I was adding context to OP's statement that "No serious climate scientist thinks we are going to fall off a cliff". If 60% of the most influential climate scientists expect the world to warm >= 3°C, and one believes (like I do) that >=3°C of warming constitutes a "cliff", then OP's statement is incorrect.