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fintechjock | 3 years ago

> In other words, and paradoxically, work in labor-intensive jobs will be the last to be automated. Many used to think those jobs would be the first in line for automation, and creative jobs will be automated last.

This is surprising to me but probably intuitive considering the market forces. Creative jobs are highly specialized and therefore expensive. (Low supply + high demand = high cost). On the flip side, labor-intensive jobs are not specialized and therefore cheap (overall, I know supply is an issue in the US right now at least).

If the market is trying to reduce costs it will start with the highest first, especially those with the highest barriers to entry as far as skill development. It probably doesn't help that it appears computer vision is advancing slower than other areas of AI.

Great post. Really enjoying your new writing.

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ajafari1|3 years ago

Yes, you correctly point out that high cost is a big factor. The other factor in why labor-intensive jobs are difficult, is that robotics has lagged far behind AI software. Even if Tesla or others mass produce robots starting in 2025 or 2030, it will take a very long time before there is enough robots to satisfy the labor-intensive demand globally. Thanks for your readership!