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foldingmoney | 3 years ago

>I expect little to no digital art (images, videos, films, music, writing) will be sold for profit by human artists 10 years from now

you think AI auto-generated movies will kill the human film industry? AI novels? these are both fundamentally different from the kind of recombination that DALL-E is doing.

>the only reason I haven't extended that to physical media like sculpture or street art is that I don't know whether we'll have dextrous enough robots to make those yet (though dextrous robots will indubitably come soon as well).

3d printing

>these AI algorithms are very much meant to kill the image industry, whether that was the intention of the researchers or not.

hmm

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Eji1700|3 years ago

Yeah anyone claiming they understand what these things do, and how they do it, and then expecting them to replace digital writing/film is just...not going to happen. Not in 10 years at least. We're not even close.

Every time people start freaking out about the AI apocalypse, i tend to point out that to my knowledge, there's no learning style AI that's beaten a mario game, especially in a real "human" style (play through each level and learn them). I've seen an AI that can beat mario 1 this way, but it doesn't "learn", it just "brute forces" by trying random inputs, and then save state reloading if it gets a bad output (dies/gets stuck), and then does thousands of those games in parallel. And this ONLY works with mario 1 in part because "go right" is ALWAYS correct. Take any further mario game, where more vertical/backwards exploration is a thing, and its not even possible (mario 3 for example).

It would be trivial of course to just program it to beat every game and get everything, by literally programming the correct inputs (literally a tas) but a task that is expected to be doable by a young human child is, again to my minimal knowledge of amateur research, not even remotely within the realm of possible for modern AI.

pcthrowaway|3 years ago

Is it far-fetched to think that AI animating comic books / manga into cartoons is that far away?

hef19898|3 years ago

I see how AI movies could replace every single Marvel movie since Endgame so. Toss the AI the comic story lines, give it endless compute capacity to create CGI effects and deep fakes if actirs and you have it.

It is different for movies actually tellong a story, those are about emotions. Once AI can come up with convincing story telling for us humans, us humans clearly are redundant.