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moistoreos | 3 years ago

/remindme in 10 years

In all seriousness, YES! File sizes are not getting smaller. If the bottleneck of data transference were my hardware, then we would live in a data utopia.

Imagine the size of files for the last 20 years and you could probably do a relatively close comparison for the next 20. I would say they have future-proofed their system for a long while.

I would also say that with the addition of IoT, there is going to be a LOT more casual traffic across the wire in people's homes/businesses.

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lloeki|3 years ago

> Imagine the size of files for the last 20 years and you could probably do a relatively close comparison for the next 20.

Is it? A some point usefulness plateaus.

I mean taking the streaming example, we can easily stream several 4K HDR streams within a 1G pipe, and 4K is basically retina-class unless you plan to project in a cinema, so anything above is virtually useless (just like the move to 24bit/192kHz is for listening).

The only way I can see this use case growing in size in any semi-useful way is by reducing compression ratio to eliminate artifacts.

Similarly picture size increase but I don't see people start sharing gigapixel pictures.

Maybe this could be an enabler of truly privacy respecting home self-hosting. Own your data, own your services. Maybe distributed storage like ipfs could benefit from that as well.

But size, I can only see us using more of it because we basically now have the ability to be inefficient, not because it's useful.

But hey, 20 years is basically impossible to project into with any reliability.

Gigachad|3 years ago

Not sure if we are going to see this in the future, but I'd love to see video streaming / content production move to 60fps. You're right that beyond 4k doesn't really give you anything but the improvement 24fps to 60 is absolutely massive.

Would also be nice to see video call apps upgrade from the absolute worst qualities to something nicer.

ejb999|3 years ago

I don't disagree - in 10 years this will be different and so will my opinion - things we don't even know about will become common everyday necessities and may require those kind of speeds...but right now, I don't see it.

themacguffinman|3 years ago

There's kind of a chicken & egg dynamic here. People won't experiment with futuristic high-bandwidth applications before they have high bandwidth.