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percevalve | 3 years ago

Reading that the Norway-Poland pipeline just happened to open today... Sounds like a loud a clear message to me, along the lines of "Gas pipeline seems to be very fragile around here, let's just hope nothing happens to yours".

If you add factions into the mix, I would say that this might be what makes the most sense.

https://www.euronews.com/2022/09/27/baltic-pipe-norway-polan...

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PartyOperator|3 years ago

There's also the fact that it just shakes things up a bit. Russia isn't benefiting from the pipeline now. Leaving it intact leaves long-term opportunities and risks that strategic actors with time on their side can turn against Russia (or against Putin in particular). Blowing a hole in the pipeline creates confusion, disruption and opportunities today. For what? Unclear, but Putin seems to thrive on short-term crises.

thenthenthen|3 years ago

I think all parties involved could potentially benefit from the confusion surrounding this pipeline.

kazen44|3 years ago

destroying something as vital as the poland-norway pipeline or other norwegian gas infrastructure could be seen as a trigger for article 5.

Mind you, this is something russian claims it wants (the war against the west and all that), but actually triggering it or something like it which allows to poor even more weapons into ukraine will result in an even weaker russia.