could you link to the research on that? I am really curious in mapping out all the energy alternatives we could have available (since fusion is not coming anytime )
I'd need to dig through my downloads folder a bit, but here is one (very simple) model. Note that lazard is claimed to have an anti-nuclear bias from many.
https://model.energy allows you to play with the numbers. Note that there are existing solar projects with lower whole
sale prices than their 2030 projections in low latitude areas.
You can explore different scenarios like 'what if the hyasa 95% efficient electrolyser is commercialisable without needing platinum' or put in figures for ammonia in the h2 electrolyser column (just tweak the h2 capital and efficiency costa until price per kg of the 'hydrogen' is equivalent to a price you like for green ammonia keeping in mind H2 is about 7x the energy per mass)
Additionally keep in mind that nuclear lcoe figures tend to have very low discount rates (so compare like for like) and they also ignore build time.
Here's a press releasehttps://h2-ccs-network.com/blog/verdagy-hits-lcoh-below-3-00...
Note they do not mention energy cost, so grain of salt. $2/kg (including storage) is roughly the magic number where you stop thinking about nuclear at all. $3-5 means you need to think about how little time you can runthe turbine and how much it costs you when it's off. H2 is more efficient and cheaper, Ammonia can be moved and stored more easily (and used in deisel engines as long as you can increase fuel tank size).
LMK if you want anything specific and/or you know of a good way to text search a folder full of pdfs on android.
Schroedingersat|3 years ago
https://www.lazard.com/media/451779/lazards-levelized-cost-o...
https://model.energy allows you to play with the numbers. Note that there are existing solar projects with lower whole sale prices than their 2030 projections in low latitude areas.
You can explore different scenarios like 'what if the hyasa 95% efficient electrolyser is commercialisable without needing platinum' or put in figures for ammonia in the h2 electrolyser column (just tweak the h2 capital and efficiency costa until price per kg of the 'hydrogen' is equivalent to a price you like for green ammonia keeping in mind H2 is about 7x the energy per mass)
Additionally keep in mind that nuclear lcoe figures tend to have very low discount rates (so compare like for like) and they also ignore build time.
Here's a press releasehttps://h2-ccs-network.com/blog/verdagy-hits-lcoh-below-3-00... Note they do not mention energy cost, so grain of salt. $2/kg (including storage) is roughly the magic number where you stop thinking about nuclear at all. $3-5 means you need to think about how little time you can runthe turbine and how much it costs you when it's off. H2 is more efficient and cheaper, Ammonia can be moved and stored more easily (and used in deisel engines as long as you can increase fuel tank size).
LMK if you want anything specific and/or you know of a good way to text search a folder full of pdfs on android.
Here's a slightly more sceptical take https://www.science-climat-energie.be/2021/07/16/the-present...
Another https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S09601...
https://www.ammoniaenergy.org/topics/levelized-cost-of-ammon...
Another optimistic one https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/solr.202100487
Keepin mind it's a lobbying body https://www.ammoniaenergy.org/topics/levelized-cost-of-ammon...