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yuan43 | 3 years ago
I guarantee you won't want to buy that market because it looks dead and set to drop further. But it's really instructive to go back and look at charts for various assets after bubble implosions. There's plenty of time to get in after the Johnny-come-latelies have been margin called into oblivion and even the diamond hands have folded.
The absolute worst time to make a move is during a downturn. Things tend to get extremely volatile on both the upside and downside. Everyone is excited. There's hope! Not a chance! Which way will it turn out? It keeps buyers and the faithful clinging to hope. Buy some time after they've capitulated and completely written off the market. Go back to those charts and notice that the strongest rallies happen in bear markets.
Buy after the last bull has admitted defeat. My canary in that coal mine will be Tom Lee:
When this perma-bull turns bearish, you'll know the waters are safe.
To answer your question, I'm waiting. Waiting for stuff to get as boring as watching paint dry.
vagab0nd|3 years ago
Be careful not to just look at assets that survived. There are plenty of things that people stopped caring, for a reason, which did not survive.
dogmatism|3 years ago
ImprovedSilence|3 years ago