[RedBeetDeadpool]

How you said it:

> Twitter’s already headed down the uncool social media curve like Facebook before it. There will be an exodus, but it would have happened either way. Once the parents get on, it starts the decline. When the grandparents are there…

> The “political” polarization is part of it. The older folks bring it with them. The majority flock to sites for information and escapism. The back and forth is just exhausting.

> It’s clearer for geek sites. Slashdot died when it got corporate and the content went to crap. Digg was the same. Reddit’s in process except niches. It’ll be same here.

> For everything there is a season.

What you sound like:

Yes and there shall be an exodus from the Twitters.

The parents shall come in, then the grandparents shall follow. Once those generations arrive the decline shall start. Not before. Not long after. But right after the grandparents, whence they arrive.

The polarization shall induce the decline. This wrought on by the older generations. And this is when the majority shall flock to sites for information and escapism.

Just as Slashdot, and Digg, declined before it, so shall the Twitters decline as well.

For everything, there is a season.

---

With your prescience, you must be a billionaire. Why don't you just buy Twitter off of Elon?

[salmo]

Not far off.

But the parents are already there. Like, uh, me. And most of my Twitter friends are similarly aged. And some of their parents are there. My mute list grows every couple months. I don’t mind political content but get tired of being battered by angry repetitive posts. Most of the people I know who abandoned facebook did it for that reason.

The younger folks I know don’t have an account or care. I don’t even know what the cool thing is anymore. That’s probably the point.

It’s already in its decline, the user numbers maybe don’t reflect it yet. And it’s not prescient any more than watching any historical trend repeat itself is.

There’s more than a billion reasons I’m not a billionaire, including. I’m not brave, smart, or initially wealthy enough are a few.

If I were, I wouldn’t buy a social media site. I also wouldn’t buy a TCBY franchise. These are things that might be great short term, but risk increases over time. A 1-2 year old TCBY is packed with kids. A 5+ year old one looks like every near empty ice cream shop. They all have the same smell, it’s weird.

Anyway, I’m risk adverse… and that lack of bravery is partly why I’m not wealthy in any sense.

I might be wrong about all of this. Just applying what I’ve seen from the past to the present.