[notart666]

It really can't and it doesn't really work the way you think it does which is ironic that you'd think people on this site would be informed but I guess ycombinator has a financial conflict of interest in doing so. I wouldn't be surprised if they make posts on this topic with a very heavy bias like they do for a lot of their own investments.

I remember being shown this software almost a decade ago in dealing with chat in online video gaming and it ended becoming a serious conversation at the ACM SIG CHI about it's use and abuse for spreading certain things. At the end of the day, we realized it was an arms race and the only way to win, was to simply not play. But of course these ideas were rejected for it went against the financial interests of the parties involved.

[lmarcos]

The point is not what we (techies) think about the usefulness of ChatGPT. The point is that managers will definitely think ChatGPT is worth doing... Just like they think Jira/Scrum/Agile/etc. is worth our time. I definitely see management paying for ChatGPT.

[urthor]

It's also not about how good ChatGPT is now.

How good will ChatGPT be in 5 years?

It's scary to imagine.

[ben_w]

Whatever you saw a decade ago, it definitely wasn’t this.

I do recommend you play with it. But if you don’t feel like signing up with their free account, here’s a screen recording of me asking it some random general knowledge questions and instructing it to use a different language in the response each time: https://youtu.be/XX2rbcrXblk

[astrange]

> Whatever you saw a decade ago, it definitely wasn’t this.

To be fair, the post might be from Schmidhuber, in which case it’s true he saw it 20 years ago.

I saw it 10 years ago and it was called MegaHAL, wasn’t this good though.

[urthor]

While it's never going to replace the man behind the machine.

It still seems highly likely that "stitching libraries together" development workflows in 10-15 years will involve large amounts of copy-editing the output of large language models.

The trajectory of improvements, from GitHub Copilot to ChatGPT, is too steep.

[bigDinosaur]

Web development workflows honestly are often already at the stage of stitching together the output of large language models (Stack Overflow being the most well known such language model). I'm still surprised it pulls the salaries it does.

[ilaksh]

In my opinion, the only way it takes 10 years to get there is if all progress stops within the next 30 days.

Because it can literally almost do that stitching libraries together task now, if you give it a compiler and runtime environment and have it iterate on errors. Open AI has said they will release a big update before Christmas. This could include an API. And if we assume a text-only environment. But we already have the first text-to-video models, so we should assume that ChatGPT like systems will be built with multimodal models such that they would include information about UI interactions etc. in the near future. No reason to suppose that those advances would take ten years. We are seeing major improvements every 6-12 months.

[alchemist1e9]

10-15 years? I think you mean next year!

[jhoelzel]

Thank you for your rant but you are simply wrong. I do have a bachelor in psychology and am coding since 20 years.

This is not a turn based game ran in dos. You value yourself way to highly and maybe its you who should update their knowledge base ;)