[jsiva]

Is the ChatGPT threat to knowledge workers an actual threat (let's say in the timeframe of a decade) or only a perceived one? I don't think at the current performance of ChatGPT and similar models are enough to displace genius knowledge workers. Although I could see the possibility of ChatGPT-like models allowing more work to be done by fewer knowledge workers. And in this scenario, there is no guarantee that an "unfound" genius makes it through the new system.

[CrypticShift]

> are enough to displace genius knowledge workers

I was more referring to the genius that does routine employment work mostly to support himself (like for the cliche example: Einstein working in the patent office while preparing his theories).

> an actual threat (let's say in the timeframe of a decade) or only a perceived one?

This is a big question. chatGPT is pushing some buttons a lot faster than I thought. is it just a jolt? is there an AI winter on the horizon? The fact that these systems are still mostly magical black boxes does not help us predict. So, who knows?