[roperj]

> Since 2018 we have experienced a series of tremors in AI. We know that eventually the big quake will happen — it’s inevitable.

You can say/type anything, including this. But you offer no actual argument why this is true.

> And it’s clear that we are building the subconscious of what will eventually become AGI.

No it is not “clear”.

[kbrkbr]

This. It’s not clear and I see a lot of ways the story could go differently. If the past is a guide, another ai winter is much more likely than agi.

Intuition feels the same when it’s right and when it’s wrong and it’s not a guide to decide what is clear, let alone inevitable.

Show proof/evidence or accept that it’s just an unfounded opinion.

[tee_0]

This is laughable. Proof? How could anyone prove that AGI is imminent in a mathematical way? You would need to know the mathematical underpinning of intelligence and nobody will have that until after the fact.

It’s more likely for a winter? Dude, you either think AGI is inevitable or not. I never said how many winters are between there and now. But the idea of a winter now is completely insane. What is it precisely about the past 6 months that indicates a coming winter?

Show proof or evidence. Lol. The evidence is clear as day. The indicators and heuristics. Look at what software did 20 years ago and look at what it does now you fool.