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Ligma123 | 3 years ago

It would be really cool if you took this discourse to Africa, China or India, Mr Malthus.

discuss

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Hamuko|3 years ago

"The UN forecasts that China’s population will decline from 1.426 billion this year to 1.313 billion by 2050 and below 800 million by 2100"

inawarminister|3 years ago

Yes but not India or Africa. Nigeria is still projected to hit 500mil by mid-century, don't they?

Actually, compared to South Korea, Taiwan, and China, Japanese birthrate is the highest in the region. It's just Japan went earlier than the three of them in subreplacement, so they hit the major pain points earlier in time. But maybe China will hit the subreplacement pains faster than what Japan experienced....

mrkeen|3 years ago

India -> it's already in motion.

> From 1965 to 2009, contraceptive usage has more than tripled (from 13% of married women in 1970 to 48% in 2009) and the fertility rate has more than halved (from 5.7 in 1966 to 2.4 in 2012)

> India's fertility rate has greatly decreased in recent years and is now distinctly below the global rate.