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throwawaycopter | 3 years ago

> Sure. But will that be the case 5-10 years from now?

Not with language models. A language model can parse natural language, and with enough training data, give out what it thinks the answer is based on the data it was trained with. It is not General AI.

It cannot reason a solution for a problem that had an unknown answer. It won't be able to reflect logically on a context to foresee problems within this context. It cannot have a meaningful conversation. It won't be able to understand that one of the things it "knows" was incomplete, untrue, or just plain wrong, and fix itself.

It's a powerful tool, a game-changing tool. Perhaps as game-changing as the advent of computers, internet, or wireless communication. But it still won't replace humans.

General AI for now is science fiction. Perhaps this is unfortunate. I wouldn't mind an AI that can replace humans, even if I too am made obsolete with it.

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oceanplexian|3 years ago

> General AI for now is science fiction. Perhaps this is unfortunate. I wouldn't mind an AI that can replace humans, even if I too am made obsolete with it.

Maybe I’m optimistic, but I feel like we need AGI to reach the next level of development as a civilization. If software engineering jobs are the price to pay so be it. World hunger, medical science, energy, space travel, if we can get all of these to take a ride on something resembling Moore’s Law we are in for a one hell of a fantastic future in our lifetimes.

throwawaycopter|3 years ago

I actually think AGI will bring about the collapse of civilization, and perhaps the end of humanity. I'm okay with it.

I also think it will solve things such as energy and space travel. World hunger, medical science (among other human problems) will become meaningless.

"Rejoice glory is ours / Our young men have not died in vain / Their graves need no flowers / The tapes have recorded their names"

roncesvalles|3 years ago

When ChatGPT was first released, I read a memorable comment on HN (paraphrasing from memory): It looks like AI is poised to take over all the things that I enjoyed doing as a human such as art, music, storytelling, teaching, programming.

There only needs to be one intelligent species in any ecosystem. If AI becomes that species, humans will be relegated to the role of horses - only good for menial physical labor. That is, of course, only until the AI invents cars.